Europe's Orbital Compute Gap: A New Kind of Space Race, and Europe Is Still Figuring Out the Launch Codes
Europe is trailing in the orbital computing race, with China and the U.S. sprinting ahead while the EU contemplates whether building space data centers is worth the effort.
TAMPA, Fla. - In a shocking twist that surprises absolutely no one, Europe is once again trailing behind in a technological race, this time in the orbital computing sector. According to a report from the European Space Policy Institute (ESPI), the continent risks becoming a mere spectator as the U.S. and China sprint ahead in the development of space-based data centers. Because what we really need up there is more servers.
ESPI's report, published Aug. 5, singles out China's rapid progress, which is being propelled by a potent cocktail of national policy, municipal initiatives, and the unwavering support of state-owned enterprises. While European actors are still "weighing the development of orbital data centers," as the report dryly notes, the Chinese are already doing the heavy lifting. The Three-Body Constellation, launched by ADA Space in 2025, marked the first operational example of space-based computing, and Beijing hasn't looked back since.
ADA Space, in collaboration with the Zhejiang Lab, deployed the first 12 satellites of a proposed 2,800-satellite network in May 2025. Nearly nine months later, China triumphantly announced that in-orbit tests had demonstrated core capabilities including networking, computing, model deployment, and scientific payload verification. Because why test things on the ground when you can do it in the vacuum of space?
But wait, there's more. Other Chinese ventures like China Mobile, Comospace, Bailing Aerospace, Orbital Chenguang, and Shanghai Xingshu Tiansuan Space Technology Co. are all jumping on the orbital computing bandwagon, with the latter reportedly starting deployment of a planned 1,000-satellite space-computing network in July. Launch companies iSpace and Nayuta Space have also dusted off their blueprints to enter the market. In June, Beijing further solidified its intentions by having municipal science and technology agencies issue a call for proposals on enabling technologies. It's almost like they have a plan.
This top-down approach stands in stark contrast to the largely commercially driven activity in the U.S., ESPI noted. Meanwhile, Europe is still stuck in the research and small-scale demonstration phase, which is the technological equivalent of building a model rocket while others are launching actual satellites.
"Beijing views space-based compute as the next frontier of its broader technology strategy: a way to produce advanced computing capabilities domestically and export them overseas - much like its U.S. counterparts - while positioning itself to help set the global standards and regulation for an entirely new industry before others get there first," the report said. In other words, China wants to write the rulebook for the orbital computing sandbox, and Europe is still trying to find the entrance.
"As China continues to expand its activities for ODCs at this pace, European actors should heed close attention or risk relinquishing space compute capabilities to the United States and China," the report warned. Because nothing says 'technological sovereignty' like watching from the sidelines.
Europe has supported several technologies relevant to orbital computing, but it has yet to organize them into a large-scale deployment strategy. Commercial projects, including plans announced earlier this year by French startup ALATYR for robotically assembled ODCs, have also yet to match the scale seen elsewhere. Meanwhile, U.S. ventures like Starcloud and Cowboy Space have achieved unicorn status, each valued at more than $1 billion. Because of course they have.
ESPI suggests that the first commercially viable ODC applications will likely involve processing Earth observation data close to where it's collected, reducing the amount that needs to be transmitted to the ground and delivering intelligence faster. More ambitious uses, such as globally distributed computing networks and large-scale AI training envisioned by companies including SpaceX, remain more than a decade away. So we've got that to look forward to.
ESPI called on the European Union to recognize ODCs as an emerging pillar of technological sovereignty and coordinate policy, investment, and regulation around their development. Europe can also learn from China's playbook by combining policy drafting with industry implementation. Because apparently, the EU needs a reminder that having a plan might be a good idea.
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